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why i'm betting on the most boring stablecoin in defi
been tracking @aave gho for some months now. while everyone argues about dai governance and frax's latest tokenomics update, gho just hit $120m supply with zero fanfare.
here's why i think we're all looking at the wrong metrics.
the boring thesis that's actually working
forget the stablecoin wars narrative. @GHO isn't trying to flip usdc overnight.
instead, it's doing something smarter: plugging into infrastructure that already works. when you borrow gho, you're using the same collateral system that's handled $20b+ in lending volume without major issues.
➜ i've been borrowing gho against my eth for months. 4.5% rate, instant liquidity, zero drama. it just works really well.
why the $120m number is misleading
everyone sees $120m and thinks "small stablecoin." but that's not how gho works.
➥ traditional stablecoins get minted then find use cases
➥ gho gets borrowed by people who immediately need it for something specific
➜ every dollar of gho supply represents actual demand, not speculative minting.
the data that changed my mind
was skeptical of gho initially. another stablecoin? really?
then i looked at the peg stability: 99.2% over 90 days. that's better than dai (98.9%) and almost matches usdc (99.8%).
➜ but here's the kicker - gho maintains that peg while generating 4.5% yield for borrowers. dai's dsr is 3.3% and requires separate staking.
where everyone else is getting it wrong
crypto twitter loves complex tokenomics and governance drama. meanwhile, gho is succeeding because it's boring.
➥ no algorithmic peg mechanisms that break during volatility
➥ no token incentives that create artificial demand
➥ just over-collateralized borrowing that's worked for years
➜ sometimes the most obvious solution is the right one.
the timeline nobody's talking about
if gho maintains 15% monthly growth (current rate), it hits $500m by december. that puts it ahead of several "major" stablecoins that get way more attention.
more importantly, institutional adoption is coming to defi. when it does, they'll want:
→ proven infrastructure (aave: 4+ years)
→ predictable yields (transparent borrow rates)
→ regulatory clarity (aave is ahead here)
➜ gho checks every box.
my contrarian prediction
within 18 months, gho will be a top-5 stablecoin by market cap.
not because of marketing or token incentives, but because it solves real problems for real users. boring beats flashy in the long run.
➜ could be wrong. often am. but the data suggests something different is happening with gho.
the risk i'm watching
biggest threat isn't competition from other stablecoins. it's aave itself.
➥ if aave's lending protocol faces issues, gho goes down with it
➥ that concentration risk is real
➜ but betting against aave at this point feels like betting against defi itself.
bottom line
while everyone debates perfect tokenomics, aave just shipped a stablecoin that people actually use. execution beats theory every time.
➜ been allocating more of my stablecoin exposure to gho. not financial advice, but the boring play might be the smart play here.

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