$BTC - D1 Lost 107/108k, immediately sent back to "last bulls stand". I'm saying "last bulls stand" as we have the confluence of: - D1 300 MA => Defended this entire cycle, with couple of deviations below in Sept 24 && April 25... and now - 100k muh round number - Weekly trend/S/R flip If you've been reading my content over the past few months (years?) about EMA/MA compression, you know that one of the rule I have is "EMA/MA compression exit confirmed when trend defended outside of it". Which can be to the upside when trend defended above 100 MA... and to downside when trend defended below 300 MA. Therefore... EMA/MA wise one of the key fight we gonna watch here is whether D1 300 MA x D1 trend flip resistance or not. For now, D1 trend is still 107/108k.. So definitely not in confluence with D1 300 MA (can be one of our hope actually... a bit like the deviation in April earlier this year). Reclaim D1 300 MA && Low 100 region on H4/D1 rapidly == HTF bulls argument remains alive. Flip the entire area resistance... Much harder to justify remaining bullish for me HTF wise.

D1 300 MA deviation April 25. Similarities here with D1 trend being in middle of compression back then, same as now.

D1 300 MA deviation in Sept 24. This one was even more crucial as you can see we had D1 trend x D1 300 MA confluence @ 57/58k. When both were reclaimed it gave a nice trigger to chase longs (failed exit of EMA/MA compression)... We know the rest of the story. Structure was much tighter and we had nice confluence context of US elections back then.

First D1 300 MA retest of the bull run was in the 23/25k area.

Best hopium HTF I can have for us.

@n1c0cs @trendflipper It's been so weird and hard to have definitive HTF takes on BTC over the past few months as it moved mainly off of LTF trends and very aggressively. But seems to me that the fight for 6 digits && W1 trend && D1 EMA/MA... Likely is a key fight.